YEARLY HIGH
157.4413 ETB
YEARLY LOW
6.0750 ETB
YEARLY AVERAGE
78.3099 ETB

2026 CUP to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the CUP to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 16, valuing the pair at 157.4413. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 27, dropping to 6.0750.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 151.3663 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 155.5907 to the December average rate of 6.1946, the exchange rate registered a net change of -96.02% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 157.4413 was up 0.92% compared to the 2025 peak of 156.0025, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CUP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 787,206 ETB
2025 Average 694,654 ETB
Yearly Trough Low 30,375 ETB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 756,831.41 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

170.8109
-8.7802
JanuMarcMayJuly

CUP to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 102.3399, compared to 6.2198 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 96.1202 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 102.3399
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.2198

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was April, with a trading range of 151.3159 ETB (High: 157.3909 / Low: 6.0750). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0242 ETB (High: 6.2088 / Low: 6.1845).

April Spread (Volatile) ±151.3159
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0242

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 128.7723 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -128.7723

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 155.8450) against the same month in 2025 (average: 130.0850), the exchange rate shifted by +25.7600 (+19.80%).

2026 Avg (March) 155.8450
2025 Avg (March) 130.0850

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 156.5499 154.5689 155.5907
February 156.5856 154.4911 155.2578
March 157.4413 154.0838 155.8450
April 157.3909 6.0750 134.9580
May 6.2333 6.0961 6.1857
June 6.2640 6.1202 6.2025
July 6.2737 6.1893 6.2449
August 6.2088 6.1845 6.1946