YEARLY HIGH
7.8391 HKD
YEARLY LOW
0.3042 HKD
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.9270 HKD

2026 CUP to HKD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the CUP to HKD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 18, valuing the pair at 7.8391. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 16, dropping to 0.3042.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.5348 HKD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.7965 to the December average rate of 0.3045, the exchange rate registered a net change of -96.09% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 7.8391 was down 0.14% compared to the 2025 peak of 7.8502, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CUP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 39,195 HKD
2025 Average 38,980 HKD
Yearly Trough Low 1,521 HKD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 37,674.21 HKD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

8.5794
-0.4480
JanuMarcMayJuly

CUP to HKD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.1345, compared to 0.3045 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.8299 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.1345
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3045

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was April, with a trading range of 7.5347 HKD (High: 7.8391 / Low: 0.3043). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 HKD (High: 0.3046 / Low: 0.3045).

April Spread (Volatile) ±7.5347
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 6.4539 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -6.4539

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2026: 6.7582) against the same month in 2025 (average: 7.7634), the exchange rate shifted by -1.0052 (-12.95%).

2026 Avg (April) 6.7582
2025 Avg (April) 7.7634

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.8099 7.7854 7.7965
February 7.8233 7.8102 7.8163
March 7.8384 7.8049 7.8272
April 7.8391 0.3043 6.7582
May 0.3043 0.3042 0.3043
June 0.3046 0.3042 0.3044
July 0.3047 0.3044 0.3045
August 0.3046 0.3045 0.3045