YEARLY HIGH
9.4375 MAD
YEARLY LOW
0.3564 MAD
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.6383 MAD

2026 CUP to MAD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the CUP to MAD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 13, valuing the pair at 9.4375. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 29, dropping to 0.3564.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.0811 MAD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.1655 to the December average rate of 0.3617, the exchange rate registered a net change of -96.05% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 9.4375 was down 7.44% compared to the 2025 peak of 10.1959, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CUP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 47,188 MAD
2025 Average 46,728 MAD
Yearly Trough Low 1,782 MAD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 45,405.71 MAD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

10.2327
-0.5406
JanuMarcMayJuly

CUP to MAD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.0637, compared to 0.3624 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 5.7012 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.0637
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3624

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was April, with a trading range of 9.0235 MAD (High: 9.3829 / Low: 0.3594). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 MAD (High: 0.3618 / Low: 0.3615).

April Spread (Volatile) ±9.0235
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 7.6582 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -7.6582

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 9.3350) against the same month in 2025 (average: 9.7024), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3674 (-3.79%).

2026 Avg (March) 9.3350
2025 Avg (March) 9.7024

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 9.2415 9.0371 9.1655
February 9.1834 9.1102 9.1486
March 9.4375 9.1425 9.3350
April 9.3829 0.3594 8.0153
May 0.3593 0.3564 0.3572
June 0.3651 0.3569 0.3604
July 0.3648 0.3614 0.3632
August 0.3618 0.3615 0.3617