YEARLY HIGH
4.4626 RON
YEARLY LOW
0.1686 RON
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.4781 RON

2026 CUP to RON Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the CUP to RON exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 15, valuing the pair at 4.4626. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 27, dropping to 0.1686.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.2940 RON. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.3409 to the December average rate of 0.1780, the exchange rate registered a net change of -95.90% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 4.4626 was down 8.12% compared to the 2025 peak of 4.8572, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CUP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,313 RON
2025 Average 22,332 RON
Yearly Trough Low 843 RON
Transaction Impact: A difference of 21,470.21 RON purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

4.8294
-0.2486
JanuMarcMayJuly

CUP to RON Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.8614, compared to 0.1780 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.6835 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.8614
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1780

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was April, with a trading range of 4.2598 RON (High: 4.4284 / Low: 0.1686). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0017 RON (High: 0.1786 / Low: 0.1770).

April Spread (Volatile) ±4.2598
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0017

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 3.5866 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.5866

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 4.4062) against the same month in 2025 (average: 4.6110), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2048 (-4.44%).

2026 Avg (March) 4.4062
2025 Avg (March) 4.6110

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.3894 4.2403 4.3409
February 4.3312 4.2748 4.3088
March 4.4626 4.3143 4.4062
April 4.4284 0.1686 3.7612
May 0.1752 0.1724 0.1746
June 0.1792 0.1751 0.1769
July 0.1786 0.1770 0.1780