YEARLY HIGH
3781.3513 UGX
YEARLY LOW
141.2930 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1831.0267 UGX

2026 CUP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the CUP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 19, valuing the pair at 3781.3513. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 21, dropping to 141.2930.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3640.0583 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3568.7811 to the December average rate of 145.3889, the exchange rate registered a net change of -95.93% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 3781.3513 was up 1.12% compared to the 2025 peak of 3739.6028, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CUP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,906,756 UGX
2025 Average 18,007,862 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 706,465 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 18,200,291.64 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

4087.2128
-214.7108
JanuMarcMayJuly

CUP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2393.1736, compared to 144.5859 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2248.5877 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2393.1736
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 144.5859

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was April, with a trading range of 3611.6235 UGX (High: 3756.0608 / Low: 144.4373). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 UGX (High: 145.3889 / Low: 145.3889).

April Spread (Volatile) ±3611.6235
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 3059.7490 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3059.7490

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 3728.7191) against the same month in 2025 (average: 3665.7070), the exchange rate shifted by +63.0121 (+1.72%).

2026 Avg (March) 3728.7191
2025 Avg (March) 3665.7070

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3626.2966 3457.9491 3568.7811
February 3603.6870 3529.1144 3564.9595
March 3781.3513 3599.1395 3728.7191
April 3756.0608 144.4373 3206.0196
May 146.6632 145.1386 146.2707
June 146.4035 141.2930 144.2917
July 146.4391 141.7859 143.7828
August 145.3889 145.3889 145.3889