2016 CUP to VEF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

10.0468 VEF

YEARLY LOW

6.3056 VEF

YEARLY AVERAGE

9.0633 VEF

2016 CUP to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the CUP to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 9, valuing the pair at 10.0468. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 31, dropping to 6.3056.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.7412 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.3199 to the December average rate of 9.9884, the exchange rate registered a net change of 58.05% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 10.0468 was up 58.45% compared to the 2015 peak of 6.3409, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CUP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 50,234 VEF

2015 Average 31,590 VEF

Yearly Trough Low 31,528 VEF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 18,706.08 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

10.3552

5.9528

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CUP to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.1466, compared to 9.9801 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.8335 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.1466

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.9801

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was July, with a trading range of 0.0705 VEF (High: 10.0468 / Low: 9.9763). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0029 VEF (High: 9.9793 / Low: 9.9764).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0705

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0029

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0069 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0069

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2016: 9.9832) against the same month in 2015 (average: 6.3196), the exchange rate shifted by +3.6636 (+57.97%).

2016 Avg (July) 9.9832

2015 Avg (July) 6.3196

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	6.3205	6.3170	6.3199
February	6.3205	6.3170	6.3196
March	6.3350	6.3056	6.3240
April	9.9836	9.9705	9.9729
May	9.9735	9.9686	9.9714
June	9.9785	9.9685	9.9718
July	10.0468	9.9763	9.9832
August	9.9785	9.9690	9.9763
September	9.9793	9.9764	9.9774
October	9.9785	9.9754	9.9771
November	9.9805	9.9754	9.9781
December	9.9950	9.9785	9.9884