YEARLY HIGH
0.4795 BDT
YEARLY LOW
0.4611 BDT
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4716 BDT

2018 DJF to BDT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the DJF to BDT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 1, valuing the pair at 0.4795. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 14, dropping to 0.4611.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0184 BDT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4646 to the December average rate of 0.4710, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.38% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.4795 was up 0.67% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.4763, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,397 BDT
2017 Average 2,271 BDT
Yearly Trough Low 2,305 BDT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 92.05 BDT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.4778
0.4634
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to BDT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4711, compared to 0.4721 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0010 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4711
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4721

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was October, with a trading range of 0.0101 BDT (High: 0.4793 / Low: 0.4691). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0028 BDT (High: 0.4765 / Low: 0.4737).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0101
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0028

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0033 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0033

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2018: 0.4766) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.4535), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0232 (+5.11%).

2018 Avg (May) 0.4766
2017 Avg (May) 0.4535

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4674 0.4611 0.4646
February 0.4716 0.4648 0.4686
March 0.4747 0.4679 0.4694
April 0.4786 0.4685 0.4727
May 0.4795 0.4744 0.4766
June 0.4765 0.4737 0.4750
July 0.4757 0.4702 0.4732
August 0.4751 0.4688 0.4729
September 0.4725 0.4693 0.4710
October 0.4793 0.4691 0.4739
November 0.4715 0.4669 0.4706
December 0.4730 0.4697 0.4710