2016 DJF to GEL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0156 GEL

YEARLY LOW

0.0119 GEL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0133 GEL

2016 DJF to GEL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the DJF to GEL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 21, valuing the pair at 0.0156. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 7, dropping to 0.0119.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0037 GEL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0137 to the December average rate of 0.0149, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.42% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0156 was up 12.95% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0139, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 78 GEL

2015 Average 62 GEL

Yearly Trough Low 60 GEL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 18.52 GEL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0151

0.0120

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to GEL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0131, compared to 0.0135 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0005 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0131

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0135

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.0013 GEL (High: 0.0133 / Low: 0.0119). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 GEL (High: 0.0141 / Low: 0.0139).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0013

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0007 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0007

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.0149) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0135), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0014 (+10.33%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.0149

2015 Avg (December) 0.0135

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0140	0.0135	0.0137
February	0.0141	0.0139	0.0140
March	0.0139	0.0129	0.0134
April	0.0129	0.0125	0.0127
May	0.0125	0.0120	0.0123
June	0.0133	0.0119	0.0123
July	0.0133	0.0130	0.0132
August	0.0133	0.0128	0.0131
September	0.0132	0.0129	0.0130
October	0.0135	0.0131	0.0133
November	0.0143	0.0134	0.0139
December	0.0156	0.0143	0.0149