YEARLY HIGH
0.0390 TRY
YEARLY LOW
0.0209 TRY
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0272 TRY

2018 DJF to TRY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the DJF to TRY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 13, valuing the pair at 0.0390. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 7, dropping to 0.0209.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0182 TRY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0211 to the December average rate of 0.0298, the exchange rate registered a net change of 41.36% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0390 was up 76.00% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0222, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 195 TRY
2017 Average 102 TRY
Yearly Trough Low 104 TRY
Transaction Impact: A difference of 90.77 TRY purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0369
0.0197
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to TRY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0231, compared to 0.0314 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0083 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0231
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0314

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0110 TRY (High: 0.0390 / Low: 0.0280). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0005 TRY (High: 0.0214 / Low: 0.0209).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0110
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0005

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0028 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0028

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2018: 0.0334) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0196), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0137 (+69.82%).

2018 Avg (August) 0.0334
2017 Avg (August) 0.0196

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0214 0.0209 0.0211
February 0.0216 0.0209 0.0213
March 0.0227 0.0215 0.0220
April 0.0235 0.0224 0.0230
May 0.0267 0.0232 0.0249
June 0.0267 0.0251 0.0260
July 0.0276 0.0257 0.0268
August 0.0390 0.0280 0.0334
September 0.0374 0.0338 0.0355
October 0.0348 0.0307 0.0327
November 0.0310 0.0290 0.0301
December 0.0303 0.0292 0.0298