2018 DJF to UZS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

46.9326 UZS

YEARLY LOW

43.6637 UZS

YEARLY AVERAGE

45.4008 UZS

2018 DJF to UZS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the DJF to UZS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 46.9326. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 25, dropping to 43.6637.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.2689 UZS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 45.5766 to the December average rate of 46.7452, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.56% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 46.9326 was up 2.84% compared to the 2017 peak of 45.6360, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 234,663 UZS

2017 Average 143,092 UZS

Yearly Trough Low 218,319 UZS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 16,344.28 UZS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

47.0391

43.5130

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to UZS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 45.5495, compared to 45.2520 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2975 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 45.5495

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 45.2520

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 1.5592 UZS (High: 45.5153 / Low: 43.9561). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3279 UZS (High: 43.9916 / Low: 43.6637).

September Spread (Volatile) ±1.5592

August Spread (Stable) ±0.3279

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.7136 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7136

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 46.7452) against the same month in 2017 (average: 45.2861), the exchange rate shifted by +1.4592 (+3.22%).

2018 Avg (December) 46.7452

2017 Avg (December) 45.2861

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	45.8586	45.1925	45.5766
February	46.3638	45.7918	46.1390
March	46.2541	45.9209	46.0799
April	45.9616	45.6012	45.7465
May	45.7203	44.9048	45.2344
June	45.0876	44.2383	44.5208
July	44.3010	43.7414	43.9106
August	43.9916	43.6637	43.8068
September	45.5153	43.9561	44.5997
October	46.3795	45.3475	46.0332
November	46.7070	46.1692	46.4167
December	46.9326	46.5998	46.7452