YEARLY HIGH
1.0694 RSD
YEARLY LOW
0.9790 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.0169 RSD

2016 DZD to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the DZD to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 20, valuing the pair at 1.0694. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 2, dropping to 0.9790.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0904 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0507 to the December average rate of 1.0562, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.53% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.0694 was down 11.98% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.2149, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DZD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,347 RSD
2015 Average 5,434 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 4,895 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 451.87 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.0628
0.9845
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DZD to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0138, compared to 1.0200 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0062 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0138
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0200

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.0548 RSD (High: 1.0444 / Low: 0.9896). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0084 RSD (High: 1.0092 / Low: 1.0007).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0548
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0084

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0278 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0278

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 1.0562) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.0439), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0123 (+1.18%).

2016 Avg (December) 1.0562
2015 Avg (December) 1.0439

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.0588 1.0431 1.0507
February 1.0520 1.0276 1.0377
March 1.0444 0.9896 1.0099
April 1.0019 0.9812 0.9963
May 1.0049 0.9790 0.9910
June 1.0144 0.9814 0.9970
July 1.0142 1.0030 1.0084
August 1.0112 1.0000 1.0049
September 1.0092 1.0007 1.0061
October 1.0279 0.9993 1.0132
November 1.0524 1.0057 1.0312
December 1.0694 1.0419 1.0562