YEARLY HIGH
2.8968 HNL
YEARLY LOW
1.1941 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.4331 HNL

2016 EGP to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the EGP to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 14, valuing the pair at 2.8968. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 1.1941.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7026 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.8647 to the December average rate of 1.2680, the exchange rate registered a net change of -55.74% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2.8968 was down 1.80% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.9498, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 EGP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 14,484 HNL
2015 Average 14,077 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 5,971 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,513.17 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

3.0435
1.1065
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

EGP to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.6818, compared to 2.1844 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4974 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.6818
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.1844

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 1.3040 HNL (High: 2.5857 / Low: 1.2816). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0132 HNL (High: 2.5525 / Low: 2.5394).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.3040
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0132

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 1.0271 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0271

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2016: 2.6999) against the same month in 2015 (average: 2.8063), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1064 (-3.79%).

2016 Avg (March) 2.6999
2015 Avg (March) 2.8063

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.8803 2.8430 2.8647
February 2.8897 2.8654 2.8821
March 2.8968 2.5248 2.6999
April 2.5513 2.5379 2.5424
May 2.5525 2.5394 2.5444
June 2.5805 2.5479 2.5576
July 2.5800 2.5506 2.5655
August 2.5844 2.5636 2.5750
September 2.5806 2.5648 2.5745
October 2.5868 2.5585 2.5753
November 2.5857 1.2816 1.5482
December 1.3062 1.1941 1.2680