YEARLY HIGH
1.2737 MAD
YEARLY LOW
0.5200 MAD
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.0477 MAD

2016 EGP to MAD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the EGP to MAD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 1.2737. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 0.5200.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7537 MAD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2651 to the December average rate of 0.5497, the exchange rate registered a net change of -56.55% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.2737 was down 4.12% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.3285, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 EGP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,368 MAD
2015 Average 6,326 MAD
Yearly Trough Low 2,600 MAD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,768.39 MAD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.3366
0.4782
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

EGP to MAD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1585, compared to 0.9369 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2216 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1585
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9369

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.5557 MAD (High: 1.1080 / Low: 0.5523). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0081 MAD (High: 1.0987 / Low: 1.0906).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.5557
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0081

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.4375 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4375

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1.2651) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.2892), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0242 (-1.87%).

2016 Avg (January) 1.2651
2015 Avg (January) 1.2892

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.2737 1.2568 1.2651
February 1.2629 1.2303 1.2483
March 1.2654 1.0841 1.1659
April 1.0924 1.0812 1.0877
May 1.1008 1.0765 1.0896
June 1.1135 1.0848 1.0942
July 1.1091 1.0991 1.1044
August 1.1043 1.0831 1.0960
September 1.0987 1.0906 1.0954
October 1.1174 1.0940 1.1066
November 1.1080 0.5523 0.6691
December 0.5637 0.5200 0.5497