YEARLY HIGH
5.8518 RSD
YEARLY LOW
5.3532 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.6255 RSD

2018 EGP to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the EGP to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 9, valuing the pair at 5.8518. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 14, dropping to 5.3532.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4986 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.4924 to the December average rate of 5.8043, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.68% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.8518 was down 21.54% compared to the 2017 peak of 7.4582, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 EGP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 29,259 RSD
2017 Average 30,203 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 26,766 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,492.96 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5.8539
5.3839
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

EGP to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.5138, compared to 5.7372 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2235 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.5138
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.7372

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.2298 RSD (High: 5.6304 / Low: 5.4006). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0791 RSD (High: 5.8417 / Low: 5.7626).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2298
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0791

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0694 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0694

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 5.8148) against the same month in 2017 (average: 5.7261), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0887 (+1.55%).

2018 Avg (November) 5.8148
2017 Avg (November) 5.7261

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.6304 5.4006 5.4924
February 5.4870 5.3532 5.4230
March 5.4868 5.3908 5.4379
April 5.5426 5.3878 5.4498
May 5.7130 5.5018 5.6180
June 5.7226 5.5968 5.6614
July 5.6846 5.6050 5.6437
August 5.8121 5.6478 5.7258
September 5.7316 5.6024 5.6767
October 5.8365 5.6955 5.7581
November 5.8518 5.7690 5.8148
December 5.8417 5.7626 5.8043