2016 EGP to VEF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.1316 VEF

YEARLY LOW

0.5091 VEF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9542 VEF

2016 EGP to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the EGP to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 9, valuing the pair at 1.1316. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 0.5091.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6225 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8071 to the December average rate of 0.5430, the exchange rate registered a net change of -32.73% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.1316 was up 27.94% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.8845, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 EGP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,658 VEF

2015 Average 4,100 VEF

Yearly Trough Low 2,545 VEF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,112.74 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.1826

0.4848

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

EGP to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9566, compared to 0.9518 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0048 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9566

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9518

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.5664 VEF (High: 1.1239 / Low: 0.5575). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0014 VEF (High: 1.1245 / Low: 1.1231).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.5664

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0014

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.4530 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4530

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2016: 1.1245) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.8095), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3149 (+38.90%).

2016 Avg (July) 1.1245

2015 Avg (July) 0.8095

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.8089	0.8043	0.8071
February	0.8077	0.8039	0.8069
March	0.8102	0.7075	0.7553
April	1.1263	1.1227	1.1234
May	1.1255	1.1225	1.1232
June	1.1316	1.1222	1.1237
July	1.1316	1.1230	1.1245
August	1.1268	1.1223	1.1239
September	1.1254	1.1234	1.1243
October	1.1245	1.1231	1.1241
November	1.1239	0.5575	0.6711
December	0.5604	0.5091	0.5430