YEARLY HIGH
102.8879 RSD
YEARLY LOW
6.6734 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
51.8803 RSD

2026 ERN to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the ERN to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 13, valuing the pair at 102.8879. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 2, dropping to 6.6734.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 96.2145 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 100.0337 to the December average rate of 6.7874, the exchange rate registered a net change of -93.21% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 102.8879 was down 10.01% compared to the 2025 peak of 114.3380, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ERN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 514,440 RSD
2025 Average 519,287 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 33,367 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 481,072.73 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

111.0086
-2.7687
JanuMarcMayJuly

ERN to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 66.9006, compared to 6.8193 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 60.0813 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 66.9006
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.8193

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was April, with a trading range of 95.2304 RSD (High: 101.9051 / Low: 6.6748). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0053 RSD (High: 6.7897 / Low: 6.7844).

April Spread (Volatile) ±95.2304
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0053

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 80.3165 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -80.3165

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 101.5271) against the same month in 2025 (average: 108.5490), the exchange rate shifted by -7.0218 (-6.47%).

2026 Avg (March) 101.5271
2025 Avg (March) 108.5490

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 101.1668 97.6750 100.0337
February 99.7815 98.6140 99.3011
March 102.8879 99.3105 101.5271
April 101.9051 6.6748 87.0292
May 6.7320 6.6734 6.7127
June 6.8914 6.7111 6.7996
July 6.8831 6.7986 6.8511
August 6.7897 6.7844 6.7874