YEARLY HIGH
0.0856 BGN
YEARLY LOW
0.0782 BGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0810 BGN

2016 ETB to BGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ETB to BGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 0.0856. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 22, dropping to 0.0782.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0074 BGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0847 to the December average rate of 0.0829, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.18% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0856 was down 6.22% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0913, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 428 BGN
2015 Average 426 BGN
Yearly Trough Low 391 BGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 36.94 BGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0853
0.0784
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to BGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0815, compared to 0.0804 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0011 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0815
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0804

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.0041 BGN (High: 0.0842 / Low: 0.0800). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0008 BGN (High: 0.0793 / Low: 0.0786).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0041
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0008

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0021 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0021

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.0847) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0831), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0016 (+1.98%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.0847
2015 Avg (January) 0.0831

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0856 0.0842 0.0847
February 0.0844 0.0813 0.0826
March 0.0842 0.0800 0.0821
April 0.0807 0.0791 0.0800
May 0.0807 0.0788 0.0798
June 0.0812 0.0789 0.0798
July 0.0808 0.0795 0.0805
August 0.0801 0.0782 0.0791
September 0.0793 0.0786 0.0789
October 0.0812 0.0785 0.0799
November 0.0829 0.0788 0.0812
December 0.0846 0.0815 0.0829