YEARLY HIGH
5.8521 LRD
YEARLY LOW
4.4076 LRD
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.1995 LRD

2018 ETB to LRD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ETB to LRD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 17, valuing the pair at 5.8521. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 4.4076.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.4445 LRD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.6212 to the December average rate of 5.5893, the exchange rate registered a net change of 20.95% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.8521 was up 16.35% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.0299, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 29,261 LRD
2017 Average 21,752 LRD
Yearly Trough Low 22,038 LRD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,222.67 LRD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5.7390
4.4877
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to LRD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.7975, compared to 5.6016 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.8041 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.7975
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.6016

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 0.4272 LRD (High: 5.4352 / Low: 5.0080). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0586 LRD (High: 4.7937 / Low: 4.7351).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.4272
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0586

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0779 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0779

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 5.6303) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.9922), the exchange rate shifted by +1.6381 (+41.03%).

2018 Avg (July) 5.6303
2017 Avg (July) 3.9922

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.7026 4.4674 4.6212
February 4.7669 4.4076 4.5920
March 4.7937 4.7351 4.7668
April 4.8157 4.7368 4.7709
May 5.0197 4.7573 4.8652
June 5.4352 5.0080 5.1687
July 5.8521 5.4437 5.6303
August 5.6100 5.4672 5.5524
September 5.7740 5.5436 5.5840
October 5.6818 5.5680 5.6190
November 5.7091 5.5719 5.6347
December 5.6403 5.5356 5.5893