YEARLY HIGH
0.7568 MXN
YEARLY LOW
0.6557 MXN
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6947 MXN

2018 ETB to MXN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ETB to MXN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 14, valuing the pair at 0.7568. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 14, dropping to 0.6557.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1011 MXN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6888 to the December average rate of 0.7123, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.41% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.7568 was down 22.64% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.9783, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,784 MXN
2017 Average 3,966 MXN
Yearly Trough Low 3,279 MXN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 505.58 MXN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.7422
0.6619
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to MXN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6929, compared to 0.6965 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0036 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6929
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6965

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was October, with a trading range of 0.0532 MXN (High: 0.7261 / Low: 0.6729). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0214 MXN (High: 0.6867 / Low: 0.6652).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0532
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0214

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0464 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0464

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 0.7355) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.7862), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0506 (-6.44%).

2018 Avg (June) 0.7355
2017 Avg (June) 0.7862

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.7185 0.6705 0.6888
February 0.6867 0.6652 0.6778
March 0.6862 0.6589 0.6762
April 0.6884 0.6557 0.6686
May 0.7250 0.6875 0.7103
June 0.7568 0.7166 0.7355
July 0.7247 0.6726 0.6891
August 0.6944 0.6683 0.6819
September 0.7019 0.6709 0.6852
October 0.7261 0.6729 0.6880
November 0.7320 0.7052 0.7224
December 0.7278 0.6910 0.7123