YEARLY HIGH
3.6978 SOS
YEARLY LOW
3.5404 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.6184 SOS

2026 ETB to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the ETB to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 26, valuing the pair at 3.6978. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 25, dropping to 3.5404.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1574 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.6684 to the December average rate of 3.5714, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.64% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 3.6978 was down 19.10% compared to the 2025 peak of 4.5706, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,489 SOS
2025 Average 20,657 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 17,702 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 786.77 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

3.6867
3.5402
JanuMarcMayJuly

ETB to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.6372, compared to 3.5619 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0753 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.6372
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.5619

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was May, with a trading range of 0.0828 SOS (High: 3.6375 / Low: 3.5547). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0123 SOS (High: 3.5761 / Low: 3.5638).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0828
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0123

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0665 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0665

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 3.6626) against the same month in 2025 (average: 4.3928), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7302 (-16.62%).

2026 Avg (March) 3.6626
2025 Avg (March) 4.3928

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.6838 3.6347 3.6684
February 3.6948 3.6497 3.6745
March 3.6978 3.6261 3.6626
April 3.6647 3.6329 3.6529
May 3.6375 3.5547 3.5864
June 3.6262 3.5463 3.5785
July 3.5859 3.5404 3.5524
August 3.5761 3.5638 3.5714