2012 ETB to STD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1127.5177 STD

YEARLY LOW

1018.3861 STD

YEARLY AVERAGE

1077.0242 STD

2012 ETB to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the ETB to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 8, valuing the pair at 1127.5177. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 1018.3861.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 109.1316 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1096.9414 to the December average rate of 1027.3899, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.34% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1127.5177 was down 24.51% compared to the 2011 peak of 1493.5333, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,637,588 STD

2011 Average 5,634,117 STD

Yearly Trough Low 5,091,931 STD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 545,657.78 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

1130.5377

1018.0128

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1077.2169, compared to 1076.8314 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3854 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1077.2169

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1076.8314

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was September, with a trading range of 65.3682 STD (High: 1122.7803 / Low: 1057.4121). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 13.6523 STD (High: 1127.5177 / Low: 1113.8654).

September Spread (Volatile) ±65.3682

August Spread (Stable) ±13.6523

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 31.5179 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -31.5179

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2012: 1121.1606) against the same month in 2011 (average: 1007.9013), the exchange rate shifted by +113.2593 (+11.24%).

2012 Avg (August) 1121.1606

2011 Avg (August) 1007.9013

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1116.9864	1065.1897	1096.9414
February	1084.1656	1053.2700	1068.5909
March	1088.2680	1050.8745	1065.1081
April	1078.2859	1054.3649	1067.3577
May	1098.9609	1053.2780	1076.8985
June	1108.1866	1062.3290	1088.4047
July	1124.1137	1094.2845	1108.4746
August	1127.5177	1113.8654	1121.1606
September	1122.7803	1057.4121	1089.6427
October	1086.5464	1046.4373	1062.0034
November	1062.4621	1035.8790	1052.3175
December	1041.2510	1018.3861	1027.3899