YEARLY HIGH
4.9181 BRL
YEARLY LOW
3.8592 BRL
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.3050 BRL

2018 EUR to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the EUR to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 13, valuing the pair at 4.9181. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 3.8592.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0589 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.9136 to the December average rate of 4.4264, the exchange rate registered a net change of 13.10% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.9181 was up 23.68% compared to the 2017 peak of 3.9766, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 EUR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 24,591 BRL
2017 Average 18,050 BRL
Yearly Trough Low 19,296 BRL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,294.31 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.8608
3.8275
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

EUR to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.1423, compared to 4.4678 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3255 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.1423
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.4678

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.5589 BRL (High: 4.8411 / Low: 4.2822). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0977 BRL (High: 4.4604 / Low: 4.3627).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.5589
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0977

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.4557 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4557

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 4.7747) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.7305), the exchange rate shifted by +1.0441 (+27.99%).

2018 Avg (September) 4.7747
2017 Avg (September) 3.7305

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.9848 3.8592 3.9136
February 4.0716 3.9578 4.0096
March 4.1274 3.9849 4.0448
April 4.2500 4.0677 4.1826
May 4.4069 4.2060 4.2925
June 4.6019 4.3247 4.4105
July 4.5972 4.3287 4.4664
August 4.8411 4.2822 4.5265
September 4.9181 4.6699 4.7747
October 4.6514 4.1524 4.3190
November 4.4666 4.2077 4.2936
December 4.4604 4.3627 4.4264