YEARLY HIGH
135.0242 KES
YEARLY LOW
125.8290 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
129.7179 KES

2021 EUR to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the EUR to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 135.0242. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 24, dropping to 125.8290.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.1952 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 133.7396 to the December average rate of 127.7375, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.49% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 135.0242 was down 1.31% compared to the 2020 peak of 136.8160, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 EUR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 675,121 KES
2020 Average 608,531 KES
Yearly Trough Low 629,145 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 45,976.01 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

134.3406
127.1286
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

EUR to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 131.0567, compared to 128.3792 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.6774 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 131.0567
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 128.3792

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was March, with a trading range of 4.3437 KES (High: 132.6938 / Low: 128.3501). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.5719 KES (High: 128.6962 / Low: 127.1244).

March Spread (Volatile) ±4.3437
December Spread (Stable) ±1.5719

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 2.1063 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.1063

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 133.7396) against the same month in 2020 (average: 112.2488), the exchange rate shifted by +21.4908 (+19.15%).

2021 Avg (January) 133.7396
2020 Avg (January) 112.2488

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 135.0242 132.8886 133.7396
February 133.6113 131.3684 132.6289
March 132.6938 128.3501 130.5226
April 131.2687 127.6074 129.1624
May 132.2929 128.3625 130.5226
June 131.5928 127.8885 129.7638
July 129.1541 127.1809 127.9054
August 129.6889 127.7627 128.6469
September 130.7532 127.8993 129.6720
October 129.8651 127.6950 128.5839
November 129.4824 125.8290 127.7296
December 128.6962 127.1244 127.7375