YEARLY HIGH
118.9907 RSD
YEARLY LOW
117.1476 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
118.2526 RSD

2018 EUR to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the EUR to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 118.9907. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 12, dropping to 117.1476.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.8430 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 118.6027 to the December average rate of 118.2738, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.28% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 118.9907 was down 4.93% compared to the 2017 peak of 125.1662, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 EUR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 594,953 RSD
2017 Average 606,644 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 585,738 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,215.21 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

118.6586
117.9877
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

EUR to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 118.2678, compared to 118.2374 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0304 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 118.2678
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 118.2374

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 1.3173 RSD (High: 118.4649 / Low: 117.1476). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2541 RSD (High: 118.1997 / Low: 117.9456).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.3173
July Spread (Stable) ±0.2541

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.2889 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2889

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 118.6027) against the same month in 2017 (average: 123.7694), the exchange rate shifted by -5.1667 (-4.17%).

2018 Avg (January) 118.6027
2017 Avg (January) 123.7694

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 118.9907 118.1771 118.6027
February 118.7274 117.8715 118.3137
March 118.6772 117.8359 118.2255
April 118.5297 117.9047 118.2019
May 118.5215 117.3399 118.1641
June 118.3576 117.9447 118.0989
July 118.1997 117.9456 118.0436
August 118.4811 117.8280 118.0983
September 118.4908 117.9640 118.2889
October 118.7320 118.1633 118.4433
November 118.4649 117.1476 118.2765
December 118.5588 117.7405 118.2738