YEARLY HIGH
81.8297 RUB
YEARLY LOW
67.8763 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
74.0445 RUB

2018 EUR to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the EUR to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 10, valuing the pair at 81.8297. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 9, dropping to 67.8763.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 13.9534 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 69.1256 to the December average rate of 76.9194, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.27% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 81.8297 was up 14.08% compared to the 2017 peak of 71.7304, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 EUR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 409,148 RUB
2017 Average 329,594 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 339,381 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 69,767.02 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

79.7210
68.1624
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

EUR to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 71.8994, compared to 76.1896 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 4.2902 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 71.8994
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 76.1896

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 7.4441 RUB (High: 77.8105 / Low: 70.3664). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.6741 RUB (High: 74.0605 / Low: 72.3864).

April Spread (Volatile) ±7.4441
June Spread (Stable) ±1.6741

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 3.0768 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.0768

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 78.7578) against the same month in 2017 (average: 68.6716), the exchange rate shifted by +10.0862 (+14.69%).

2018 Avg (September) 78.7578
2017 Avg (September) 68.6716

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 69.9299 67.8763 69.1256
February 71.5042 68.5527 70.2123
March 71.3187 69.6375 70.4701
April 77.8105 70.3664 74.5953
May 76.2291 71.8027 73.6905
June 74.0605 72.3864 73.3025
July 74.4623 72.4685 73.4962
August 79.6031 73.2295 76.6582
September 81.8297 76.1519 78.7578
October 77.1984 74.3275 75.6810
November 77.0043 74.6190 75.6248
December 79.5670 75.1904 76.9194