YEARLY HIGH
1.3940 AED
YEARLY LOW
1.2285 AED
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.3070 AED

2019 GEL to AED Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the GEL to AED exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 18, valuing the pair at 1.3940. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 21, dropping to 1.2285.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1655 AED. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.3793 to the December average rate of 1.2705, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.89% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1.3940 was down 8.19% compared to the 2018 peak of 1.5184, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,970 AED
2018 Average 7,394 AED
Yearly Trough Low 6,142 AED
Transaction Impact: A difference of 827.51 AED purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1.3995
1.2232
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to AED Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.3597, compared to 1.2542 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1055 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.3597
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2542

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was July, with a trading range of 0.0774 AED (High: 1.3142 / Low: 1.2368). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0102 AED (High: 1.3680 / Low: 1.3579).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0774
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0102

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0442 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0442

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 1.3848) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1.4934), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1086 (-7.27%).

2019 Avg (February) 1.3848
2018 Avg (February) 1.4934

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.3835 1.3706 1.3793
February 1.3940 1.3655 1.3848
March 1.3808 1.3629 1.3697
April 1.3680 1.3579 1.3630
May 1.3579 1.3095 1.3354
June 1.3504 1.2843 1.3261
July 1.3142 1.2368 1.2819
August 1.2644 1.2451 1.2544
September 1.2494 1.2326 1.2408
October 1.2472 1.2305 1.2397
November 1.2439 1.2285 1.2379
December 1.2866 1.2368 1.2705