YEARLY HIGH
31.1302 AFN
YEARLY LOW
26.1198 AFN
YEARLY AVERAGE
29.1418 AFN

2018 GEL to AFN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GEL to AFN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 15, valuing the pair at 31.1302. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 18, dropping to 26.1198.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.0104 AFN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 27.2886 to the December average rate of 28.3915, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.04% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 31.1302 was up 8.02% compared to the 2017 peak of 28.8179, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 155,651 AFN
2017 Average 136,179 AFN
Yearly Trough Low 130,599 AFN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 25,051.78 AFN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

31.3035
26.9236
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to AFN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 28.4643, compared to 29.8193 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.3551 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 28.4643
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 29.8193

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 5.0104 AFN (High: 31.1302 / Low: 26.1198). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3388 AFN (High: 28.5218 / Low: 28.1830).

November Spread (Volatile) ±5.0104
March Spread (Stable) ±0.3388

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 1.4169 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.4169

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 29.8084) against the same month in 2017 (average: 26.6248), the exchange rate shifted by +3.1836 (+11.96%).

2018 Avg (November) 29.8084
2017 Avg (November) 26.6248

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 28.1932 26.8320 27.2886
February 28.5043 27.9659 28.1988
March 28.5218 28.1830 28.3876
April 28.8861 28.4787 28.7045
May 29.3290 28.6528 28.9653
June 29.9212 28.9482 29.2409
July 30.1032 29.2032 29.7737
August 29.7740 29.2857 29.4726
September 31.0793 29.6349 30.5313
October 31.0770 30.6907 30.9385
November 31.1302 26.1198 29.8084
December 28.6477 28.0265 28.3915