2016 GEL to BAM Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.8213 BAM

YEARLY LOW

0.6699 BAM

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.7494 BAM

2016 GEL to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 31, valuing the pair at 0.8213. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 0.6699.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1514 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7388 to the December average rate of 0.7002, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.23% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.8213 was down 22.21% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.0559, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,106 BAM

2015 Average 4,045 BAM

Yearly Trough Low 3,350 BAM

Transaction Impact: A difference of 756.87 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.8034

0.6909

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7568, compared to 0.7420 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0149 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7568

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.7420

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.0723 BAM (High: 0.8189 / Low: 0.7466). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0151 BAM (High: 0.7596 / Low: 0.7445).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0723

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0151

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0388 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0388

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 0.7940) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.7557), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0382 (+5.06%).

2016 Avg (May) 0.7940

2015 Avg (May) 0.7557

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.7522	0.7228	0.7388
February	0.7289	0.6961	0.7095
March	0.7602	0.7206	0.7400
April	0.7789	0.7465	0.7646
May	0.8213	0.7634	0.7940
June	0.8189	0.7466	0.7940
July	0.7596	0.7445	0.7552
August	0.7644	0.7431	0.7537
September	0.7665	0.7463	0.7559
October	0.7630	0.7456	0.7530
November	0.7460	0.7234	0.7337
December	0.7244	0.6699	0.7002