YEARLY HIGH
5.2435 BWP
YEARLY LOW
3.8495 BWP
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.6213 BWP

2016 GEL to BWP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to BWP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 1, valuing the pair at 5.2435. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 3.8495.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3941 BWP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.7284 to the December average rate of 4.0502, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.34% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5.2435 was down 8.76% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.7469, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 26,218 BWP
2015 Average 23,190 BWP
Yearly Trough Low 19,247 BWP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,970.44 BWP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5.1452
3.9507
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to BWP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.8026, compared to 4.4400 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3626 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.8026
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.4400

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.5789 BWP (High: 5.2435 / Low: 4.6646). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1140 BWP (High: 4.8344 / Low: 4.7204).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.5789
April Spread (Stable) ±0.1140

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.4083 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4083

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 5.0151) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4.3996), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6156 (+13.99%).

2016 Avg (June) 5.0151
2015 Avg (June) 4.3996

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.8232 4.6418 4.7284
February 4.6379 4.4598 4.5427
March 4.8930 4.5302 4.6966
April 4.8344 4.7204 4.7873
May 5.2429 4.7596 5.0456
June 5.2435 4.6646 5.0151
July 4.7019 4.5159 4.6068
August 4.6947 4.4126 4.5287
September 4.7258 4.4555 4.6041
October 4.5994 4.4055 4.5164
November 4.4075 4.2287 4.3337
December 4.2123 3.8495 4.0502