YEARLY HIGH
0.9406 BZD
YEARLY LOW
0.7164 BZD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.8481 BZD

2016 GEL to BZD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to BZD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 7, valuing the pair at 0.9406. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 0.7164.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2242 BZD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8191 to the December average rate of 0.7563, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.66% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.9406 was down 17.28% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.1371, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,703 BZD
2015 Average 4,593 BZD
Yearly Trough Low 3,582 BZD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,120.89 BZD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.9335
0.7402
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to BZD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8633, compared to 0.8330 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0303 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8633
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8330

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.0890 BZD (High: 0.9406 / Low: 0.8516). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0128 BZD (High: 0.8117 / Low: 0.7989).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0890
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0128

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0599 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0599

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 0.9145) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.8885), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0259 (+2.92%).

2016 Avg (June) 0.9145
2015 Avg (June) 0.8885

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.8329 0.8017 0.8191
February 0.8117 0.7989 0.8036
March 0.8724 0.8065 0.8407
April 0.8992 0.8672 0.8845
May 0.9400 0.8948 0.9173
June 0.9406 0.8516 0.9145
July 0.8657 0.8473 0.8546
August 0.8801 0.8478 0.8625
September 0.8748 0.8556 0.8658
October 0.8600 0.8362 0.8491
November 0.8349 0.7869 0.8096
December 0.7827 0.7164 0.7563