YEARLY HIGH
40.0573 CVE
YEARLY LOW
34.9182 CVE
YEARLY AVERAGE
37.7198 CVE

2018 GEL to CVE Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GEL to CVE exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 13, valuing the pair at 40.0573. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 25, dropping to 34.9182.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.1391 CVE. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 35.5011 to the December average rate of 36.4950, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.80% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 40.0573 was down 8.42% compared to the 2017 peak of 43.7379, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 200,286 CVE
2017 Average 196,500 CVE
Yearly Trough Low 174,591 CVE
Transaction Impact: A difference of 25,695.45 CVE purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

39.7216
35.1174
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to CVE Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 37.0481, compared to 38.3915 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.3434 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 37.0481
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 38.3915

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 3.6849 CVE (High: 40.0573 / Low: 36.3724). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5786 CVE (High: 36.9259 / Low: 36.3474).

November Spread (Volatile) ±3.6849
March Spread (Stable) ±0.5786

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 1.9659 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.9659

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 38.4609) against the same month in 2017 (average: 36.5804), the exchange rate shifted by +1.8805 (+5.14%).

2018 Avg (November) 38.4609
2017 Avg (November) 36.5804

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 36.1415 34.9182 35.5011
February 37.0150 35.8109 36.4472
March 36.9259 36.3474 36.6752
April 37.3637 36.6525 36.9985
May 38.5295 37.4638 38.0628
June 39.0202 37.9411 38.6039
July 38.9228 38.3231 38.6437
August 39.8653 38.1510 38.8128
September 39.0274 38.1299 38.5989
October 39.9266 38.8158 39.3379
November 40.0573 36.3724 38.4609
December 36.7948 36.0063 36.4950