YEARLY HIGH
3743.3745 GNF
YEARLY LOW
3398.0965 GNF
YEARLY AVERAGE
3644.0904 GNF

2018 GEL to GNF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GEL to GNF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 16, valuing the pair at 3743.3745. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 3398.0965.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 345.2781 GNF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3522.3782 to the December average rate of 3438.5315, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.38% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3743.3745 was down 4.58% compared to the 2017 peak of 3923.0588, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,716,873 GNF
2017 Average 18,280,540 GNF
Yearly Trough Low 16,990,482 GNF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,726,390.30 GNF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3737.0670
3411.3919
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to GNF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3653.4241, compared to 3634.7567 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 18.6674 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3653.4241
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3634.7567

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 328.2704 GNF (High: 3743.3745 / Low: 3415.1042). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 32.1118 GNF (High: 3696.6300 / Low: 3664.5182).

November Spread (Volatile) ±328.2704
June Spread (Stable) ±32.1118

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 166.9033 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -166.9033

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 3605.4348) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3496.9554), the exchange rate shifted by +108.4794 (+3.10%).

2018 Avg (November) 3605.4348
2017 Avg (November) 3496.9554

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3653.7281 3475.5483 3522.3782
February 3690.0755 3633.7134 3662.2639
March 3700.9084 3653.0081 3681.5778
April 3722.0696 3657.1843 3699.8011
May 3709.9856 3629.8739 3674.2828
June 3696.6300 3664.5182 3680.2410
July 3718.4692 3683.9612 3697.4875
August 3712.1101 3606.1787 3666.4006
September 3730.0929 3643.4338 3690.7587
October 3729.0712 3681.7057 3709.9274
November 3743.3745 3415.1042 3605.4348
December 3470.6063 3398.0965 3438.5315