YEARLY HIGH
32.2000 KGS
YEARLY LOW
24.7768 KGS
YEARLY AVERAGE
29.6507 KGS

2016 GEL to KGS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to KGS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 7, valuing the pair at 32.2000. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 24.7768.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.4232 KGS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 31.1555 to the December average rate of 26.1204, the exchange rate registered a net change of -16.16% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 32.2000 was down 8.53% compared to the 2015 peak of 35.2016, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 161,000 KGS
2015 Average 147,166 KGS
Yearly Trough Low 123,884 KGS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 37,116.00 KGS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

31.8626
25.5983
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to KGS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 30.7772, compared to 28.5242 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.2530 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 30.7772
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 28.5242

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 3.5998 KGS (High: 32.2000 / Low: 28.6002). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5566 KGS (High: 29.1307 / Low: 28.5740).

June Spread (Volatile) ±3.5998
July Spread (Stable) ±0.5566

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 2.2321 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.2321

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 30.9908) against the same month in 2015 (average: 26.4967), the exchange rate shifted by +4.4941 (+16.96%).

2016 Avg (June) 30.9908
2015 Avg (June) 26.4967

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 31.6415 30.4940 31.1555
February 30.6740 29.7760 30.1423
March 31.4919 29.5401 30.4506
April 30.8542 30.0562 30.5834
May 31.9164 30.7516 31.3406
June 32.2000 28.6002 30.9908
July 29.1307 28.5740 28.7587
August 30.1215 28.9923 29.6070
September 30.1758 29.0981 29.7617
October 29.2920 28.6675 28.9939
November 28.7088 27.1761 27.9035
December 27.0478 24.7768 26.1204