YEARLY HIGH
0.6423 LYD
YEARLY LOW
0.5132 LYD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5855 LYD

2016 GEL to LYD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to LYD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 8, valuing the pair at 0.6423. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 0.5132.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1292 LYD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5688 to the December average rate of 0.5402, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.03% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.6423 was down 18.02% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.7836, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,212 LYD
2015 Average 3,114 LYD
Yearly Trough Low 2,566 LYD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 645.77 LYD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.6297
0.5320
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to LYD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5897, compared to 0.5813 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0084 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5897
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5813

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.0588 LYD (High: 0.6423 / Low: 0.5836). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0101 LYD (High: 0.5958 / Low: 0.5857).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0588
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0101

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0311 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0311

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 0.6216) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.6051), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0165 (+2.73%).

2016 Avg (June) 0.6216
2015 Avg (June) 0.6051

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.5779 0.5520 0.5688
February 0.5653 0.5483 0.5540
March 0.6025 0.5572 0.5799
April 0.6073 0.5885 0.5983
May 0.6412 0.6014 0.6155
June 0.6423 0.5836 0.6216
July 0.5964 0.5828 0.5916
August 0.6072 0.5860 0.5957
September 0.6051 0.5891 0.5975
October 0.5958 0.5857 0.5915
November 0.5860 0.5592 0.5712
December 0.5577 0.5132 0.5402