2016 GEL to MGA Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1537.9984 MGA

YEARLY LOW

1179.6309 MGA

YEARLY AVERAGE

1347.4694 MGA

2016 GEL to MGA Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to MGA exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 14, valuing the pair at 1537.9984. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 1179.6309.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 358.3674 MGA. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1318.1477 to the December average rate of 1257.6708, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.59% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1537.9984 was down 9.72% compared to the 2015 peak of 1703.6250, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,689,992 MGA

2015 Average 7,078,079 MGA

Yearly Trough Low 5,898,155 MGA

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,791,837.04 MGA purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1513.1263

1234.4476

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MGA Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1385.2674, compared to 1309.6713 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 75.5961 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1385.2674

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1309.6713

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 156.7309 MGA (High: 1537.9984 / Low: 1381.2675). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 19.2012 MGA (High: 1330.6868 / Low: 1311.4856).

June Spread (Volatile) ±156.7309

September Spread (Stable) ±19.2012

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 174.6196 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -174.6196

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 1489.9031) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1408.6281), the exchange rate shifted by +81.2750 (+5.77%).

2016 Avg (June) 1489.9031

2015 Avg (June) 1408.6281

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1344.4015	1288.6277	1318.1477
February	1303.8381	1269.8093	1283.1985
March	1393.9188	1296.6000	1350.9690
April	1432.2820	1384.3431	1411.2179
May	1521.6955	1420.7331	1458.1681
June	1537.9984	1381.2675	1489.9031
July	1392.4914	1248.2660	1315.2835
August	1338.3648	1257.4934	1303.2136
September	1330.6868	1311.4856	1320.4335
October	1365.1835	1330.0373	1349.5377
November	1338.1278	1285.5819	1311.8889
December	1302.4047	1179.6309	1257.6708