YEARLY HIGH
1124.9882 MNT
YEARLY LOW
810.1793 MNT
YEARLY AVERAGE
903.6212 MNT

2015 GEL to MNT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the GEL to MNT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 20, valuing the pair at 1124.9882. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 21, dropping to 810.1793.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 314.8089 MNT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1087.5624 to the December average rate of 832.4444, the exchange rate registered a net change of -23.46% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 1124.9882 was up 3.95% compared to the 2014 peak of 1082.1952, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,624,941 MNT
2014 Average 5,135,258 MNT
Yearly Trough Low 4,050,896 MNT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,574,044.51 MNT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

1136.9646
802.0435
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MNT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 964.5626, compared to 842.6799 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 121.8827 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 964.5626
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 842.6799

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was March, with a trading range of 238.9168 MNT (High: 1124.9882 / Low: 886.0714). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 7.1767 MNT (High: 833.0111 / Low: 825.8344).

March Spread (Volatile) ±238.9168
November Spread (Stable) ±7.1767

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 166.3952 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -166.3952

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2015: 1040.2849) against the same month in 2014 (average: 1005.4555), the exchange rate shifted by +34.8294 (+3.46%).

2015 Avg (March) 1040.2849
2014 Avg (March) 1005.4555

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1099.9717 1067.4030 1087.5624
February 1118.0025 1097.8948 1109.0545
March 1124.9882 886.0714 1040.2849
April 885.4039 843.6103 873.8896
May 851.8714 822.3459 836.3326
June 868.3588 820.0115 840.2514
July 877.9165 867.7806 873.8429
August 871.6922 827.0296 855.2807
September 844.0471 810.1793 829.9536
October 842.0334 827.6163 834.5923
November 833.0111 825.8344 829.9654
December 839.6459 826.7432 832.4444