YEARLY HIGH
16.6951 MUR
YEARLY LOW
12.8542 MUR
YEARLY AVERAGE
15.0656 MUR

2016 GEL to MUR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to MUR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 7, valuing the pair at 16.6951. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 12.8542.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.8408 MUR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14.8048 to the December average rate of 13.5538, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.45% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 16.6951 was down 19.38% compared to the 2015 peak of 20.7076, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 83,475 MUR
2015 Average 80,369 MUR
Yearly Trough Low 64,271 MUR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 19,204.11 MUR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

16.4534
13.2902
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MUR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 15.3459, compared to 14.7853 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5606 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 15.3459
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 14.7853

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 1.6357 MUR (High: 16.6951 / Low: 15.0593). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1858 MUR (High: 15.1921 / Low: 15.0063).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.6357
October Spread (Stable) ±0.1858

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 1.0621 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0621

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 16.1898) against the same month in 2015 (average: 15.5607), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6291 (+4.04%).

2016 Avg (June) 16.1898
2015 Avg (June) 15.5607

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 14.9942 14.5053 14.8048
February 14.6290 14.2398 14.3989
March 15.4668 14.5165 14.9920
April 15.7486 15.2857 15.5603
May 16.5468 15.7413 16.1294
June 16.6951 15.0593 16.1898
July 15.3004 15.0345 15.1277
August 15.4159 14.8860 15.1575
September 15.4287 15.1077 15.2795
October 15.1921 15.0063 15.1156
November 15.0316 14.1401 14.4776
December 14.0490 12.8542 13.5538