YEARLY HIGH
5.8634 MVR
YEARLY LOW
5.1424 MVR
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.4953 MVR

2019 GEL to MVR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the GEL to MVR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 15, valuing the pair at 5.8634. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 20, dropping to 5.1424.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7210 MVR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.8146 to the December average rate of 5.3416, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.14% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 5.8634 was down 8.63% compared to the 2018 peak of 6.4174, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 29,317 MVR
2018 Average 31,086 MVR
Yearly Trough Low 25,712 MVR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,604.96 MVR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

5.8914
5.1368
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MVR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.7202, compared to 5.2705 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4497 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.7202
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.2705

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was July, with a trading range of 0.3380 MVR (High: 5.5367 / Low: 5.1986). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0610 MVR (High: 5.7542 / Low: 5.6932).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.3380
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0610

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1920 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1920

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 5.8285) against the same month in 2018 (average: 6.2761), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4476 (-7.13%).

2019 Avg (February) 5.8285
2018 Avg (February) 6.2761

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.8569 5.7687 5.8146
February 5.8634 5.7491 5.8285
March 5.8083 5.7180 5.7643
April 5.7542 5.6932 5.7261
May 5.6969 5.5080 5.6047
June 5.6802 5.3941 5.5829
July 5.5367 5.1986 5.3908
August 5.3184 5.2203 5.2811
September 5.2551 5.1678 5.2065
October 5.2462 5.1591 5.2033
November 5.2365 5.1424 5.1997
December 5.4151 5.1852 5.3416