YEARLY HIGH
333.1171 MWK
YEARLY LOW
256.0363 MWK
YEARLY AVERAGE
301.1803 MWK

2016 GEL to MWK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to MWK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 13, valuing the pair at 333.1171. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 256.0363.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 77.0808 MWK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 282.9975 to the December average rate of 272.7965, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.60% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 333.1171 was up 20.35% compared to the 2015 peak of 276.7979, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,665,586 MWK
2015 Average 1,135,340 MWK
Yearly Trough Low 1,280,181 MWK
Transaction Impact: A difference of 385,404.07 MWK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

327.2145
267.8494
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MWK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 303.1703, compared to 299.1902 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.9800 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 303.1703
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 299.1902

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 33.4985 MWK (High: 333.1171 / Low: 299.6186). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.2680 MWK (High: 307.8020 / Low: 303.5339).

June Spread (Volatile) ±33.4985
July Spread (Stable) ±4.2680

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 18.3517 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -18.3517

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 322.2674) against the same month in 2015 (average: 194.7524), the exchange rate shifted by +127.5150 (+65.48%).

2016 Avg (June) 322.2674
2015 Avg (June) 194.7524

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 297.1182 273.1334 282.9975
February 303.7789 287.6678 297.8790
March 301.5644 289.0744 294.6555
April 309.5232 294.7665 301.9422
May 331.0630 306.2154 319.2801
June 333.1171 299.6186 322.2674
July 307.8020 303.5339 304.9324
August 316.3942 304.1998 309.9694
September 314.4615 307.3392 311.3083
October 308.4223 301.3771 304.9866
November 299.8195 283.9257 291.1482
December 283.4723 256.0363 272.7965