YEARLY HIGH
25.4338 MZN
YEARLY LOW
22.6771 MZN
YEARLY AVERAGE
24.2618 MZN

2018 GEL to MZN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GEL to MZN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 12, valuing the pair at 25.4338. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 22.6771.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.7568 MZN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 23.1018 to the December average rate of 22.9125, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.82% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 25.4338 was down 13.64% compared to the 2017 peak of 29.4506, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 127,169 MZN
2017 Average 128,701 MZN
Yearly Trough Low 113,385 MZN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,783.84 MZN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

25.5273
22.6748
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to MZN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 24.4770, compared to 24.0465 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4305 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 24.4770
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 24.0465

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 2.2714 MZN (High: 25.0103 / Low: 22.7389). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2292 MZN (High: 24.8265 / Low: 24.5973).

November Spread (Volatile) ±2.2714
October Spread (Stable) ±0.2292

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 1.1773 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.1773

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2018: 25.2896) against the same month in 2017 (average: 28.0585), the exchange rate shifted by -2.7689 (-9.87%).

2018 Avg (March) 25.2896
2017 Avg (March) 28.0585

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 24.1332 22.6914 23.1018
February 24.9838 24.5221 24.7728
March 25.4338 25.0291 25.2896
April 25.2949 24.2872 24.8916
May 24.8287 24.1937 24.5290
June 24.5308 24.1287 24.2773
July 24.5506 23.7073 24.1074
August 24.1767 23.3973 23.7932
September 24.8780 24.1388 24.6219
October 24.8265 24.5973 24.7545
November 25.0103 22.7389 24.0898
December 23.1274 22.6771 22.9125