2016 GEL to PHP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

21.8538 PHP

YEARLY LOW

17.8552 PHP

YEARLY AVERAGE

20.1299 PHP

2016 GEL to PHP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to PHP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 31, valuing the pair at 21.8538. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 17.8552.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.9986 PHP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 19.5057 to the December average rate of 18.7748, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.75% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 21.8538 was down 14.40% compared to the 2015 peak of 25.5295, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 109,269 PHP

2015 Average 104,348 PHP

Yearly Trough Low 89,276 PHP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 19,992.96 PHP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

21.7377

18.5054

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to PHP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 20.2556, compared to 20.0041 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2515 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 20.2556

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 20.0041

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 1.8940 PHP (High: 21.8300 / Low: 19.9360). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2769 PHP (High: 19.2798 / Low: 19.0029).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.8940

February Spread (Stable) ±0.2769

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 1.1446 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.1446

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 21.4684) against the same month in 2015 (average: 19.2305), the exchange rate shifted by +2.2379 (+11.64%).

2016 Avg (May) 21.4684

2015 Avg (May) 19.2305

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	19.7135	19.2731	19.5057
February	19.2798	19.0029	19.1795
March	20.2895	18.9683	19.6288
April	21.1091	20.0182	20.5474
May	21.8538	21.1126	21.4684
June	21.8300	19.9360	21.2040
July	20.2980	19.9495	20.1000
August	20.4358	19.8827	20.1151
September	20.7925	20.2613	20.5819
October	20.7582	20.2757	20.5334
November	20.2056	19.5795	19.9194
December	19.4304	17.8552	18.7748