YEARLY HIGH
1.7143 QAR
YEARLY LOW
1.3006 QAR
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.5449 QAR

2016 GEL to QAR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to QAR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 7, valuing the pair at 1.7143. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 1.3006.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4137 QAR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4949 to the December average rate of 1.3734, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.13% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.7143 was down 16.90% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.0630, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,571 QAR
2015 Average 8,363 QAR
Yearly Trough Low 6,503 QAR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,068.50 QAR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.6991
1.3438
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to QAR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5736, compared to 1.5162 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0574 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5736
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5162

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.1701 QAR (High: 1.7143 / Low: 1.5442). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0195 QAR (High: 1.4773 / Low: 1.4578).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.1701
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0195

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1061 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1061

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 1.6619) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.6129), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0490 (+3.04%).

2016 Avg (June) 1.6619
2015 Avg (June) 1.6129

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.5187 1.4633 1.4949
February 1.4773 1.4578 1.4668
March 1.5919 1.4743 1.5346
April 1.6352 1.5830 1.6140
May 1.7013 1.6349 1.6695
June 1.7143 1.5442 1.6619
July 1.5738 1.5482 1.5558
August 1.6035 1.5471 1.5713
September 1.5917 1.5588 1.5767
October 1.5630 1.5261 1.5466
November 1.5216 1.4311 1.4736
December 1.4258 1.3006 1.3734