YEARLY HIGH
362.8568 RWF
YEARLY LOW
297.7294 RWF
YEARLY AVERAGE
330.6575 RWF

2016 GEL to RWF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to RWF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 9, valuing the pair at 362.8568. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 297.7294.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 65.1274 RWF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 307.4399 to the December average rate of 311.2457, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.24% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 362.8568 was down 10.27% compared to the 2015 peak of 404.3959, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,814,284 RWF
2015 Average 1,632,513 RWF
Yearly Trough Low 1,488,647 RWF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 325,637.15 RWF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

353.4822
299.2107
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to RWF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 327.5251, compared to 333.7899 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 6.2649 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 327.5251
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 333.7899

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 46.8532 RWF (High: 362.8568 / Low: 316.0036). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 8.7665 RWF (High: 350.8604 / Low: 342.0939).

June Spread (Volatile) ±46.8532
September Spread (Stable) ±8.7665

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 19.1078 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -19.1078

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 348.1141) against the same month in 2015 (average: 313.0355), the exchange rate shifted by +35.0786 (+11.21%).

2016 Avg (June) 348.1141
2015 Avg (June) 313.0355

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 311.8328 300.7705 307.4399
February 310.5932 299.4210 303.7333
March 330.7003 306.4758 319.3238
April 348.3373 328.5384 337.5797
May 358.7134 340.7446 348.9596
June 362.8568 316.0036 348.1141
July 336.2819 321.6709 329.6157
August 353.2517 333.8207 342.2762
September 350.8604 342.0939 346.8816
October 347.2426 337.4473 342.3668
November 342.6089 321.2664 330.3535
December 321.8372 297.7294 311.2457