YEARLY HIGH
3.3571 SRD
YEARLY LOW
1.5982 SRD
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.6038 SRD

2016 GEL to SRD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to SRD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 21, valuing the pair at 3.3571. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 16, dropping to 1.5982.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7588 SRD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6390 to the December average rate of 2.7773, the exchange rate registered a net change of 69.45% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 3.3571 was up 77.80% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.8882, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 16,785 SRD
2015 Average 7,651 SRD
Yearly Trough Low 7,991 SRD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,794.18 SRD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

3.4104
1.4441
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to SRD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.1860, compared to 3.0216 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.8356 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.1860
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.0216

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was May, with a trading range of 0.5143 SRD (High: 3.0130 / Low: 2.4987). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0218 SRD (High: 1.6201 / Low: 1.5982).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.5143
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0218

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1768 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1768

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2016: 3.2465) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.3693), the exchange rate shifted by +1.8773 (+137.10%).

2016 Avg (September) 3.2465
2015 Avg (September) 1.3693

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.6644 1.6043 1.6390
February 1.6201 1.5982 1.6080
March 1.7454 1.6164 1.6814
April 2.5622 2.2160 2.3629
May 3.0130 2.4987 2.6746
June 3.2666 2.9839 3.1499
July 3.0415 3.0013 3.0170
August 3.2056 3.0019 3.1015
September 3.3571 3.1291 3.2465
October 3.2689 2.8707 3.0697
November 2.9563 2.8603 2.9174
December 2.8639 2.6374 2.7773