2016 GEL to STD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

10281.0853 STD

YEARLY LOW

8408.3342 STD

YEARLY AVERAGE

9385.3233 STD

2016 GEL to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 31, valuing the pair at 10281.0853. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 8408.3342.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1872.7511 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9252.3330 to the December average rate of 8777.9151, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.13% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 10281.0853 was down 22.04% compared to the 2015 peak of 13187.0103, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 51,405,426 STD

2015 Average 50,641,988 STD

Yearly Trough Low 42,041,671 STD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,363,755.34 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

10055.8572

8661.7386

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9480.6134, compared to 9290.0332 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 190.5802 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9480.6134

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9290.0332

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 1162.3552 STD (High: 10273.1622 / Low: 9110.8070). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 168.7075 STD (High: 9517.3524 / Low: 9348.6449).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1162.3552

July Spread (Stable) ±168.7075

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 485.3256 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -485.3256

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 9926.6966) against the same month in 2015 (average: 9460.3417), the exchange rate shifted by +466.3549 (+4.93%).

2016 Avg (May) 9926.6966

2015 Avg (May) 9460.3417

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	9401.2048	9069.7179	9252.3330
February	9098.7756	8766.2624	8918.1412
March	9509.1636	9036.5341	9284.6684
April	9727.5748	9333.5435	9562.1604
May	10281.0853	9546.9448	9926.6966
June	10273.1622	9110.8070	9939.6806
July	9517.3524	9348.6449	9454.3550
August	9563.5373	9323.7307	9434.1952
September	9587.5261	9338.4903	9464.8220
October	9556.4841	9250.5133	9424.6995
November	9341.1254	9034.2525	9184.2124
December	9023.0450	8408.3342	8777.9151