YEARLY HIGH
4.1158 SVC
YEARLY LOW
3.1187 SVC
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.7101 SVC

2016 GEL to SVC Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to SVC exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 11, valuing the pair at 4.1158. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 3.1187.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9971 SVC. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.5904 to the December average rate of 3.2998, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.09% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.1158 was down 17.72% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.0025, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,579 SVC
2015 Average 20,089 SVC
Yearly Trough Low 15,594 SVC
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,985.50 SVC purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4.0809
3.2288
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to SVC Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.7785, compared to 3.6417 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1368 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.7785
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.6417

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.4110 SVC (High: 4.1158 / Low: 3.7049). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0561 SVC (High: 3.5578 / Low: 3.5017).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.4110
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0561

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.2547 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2547

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 3.9912) against the same month in 2015 (average: 3.8754), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1158 (+2.99%).

2016 Avg (June) 3.9912
2015 Avg (June) 3.8754

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.6558 3.5138 3.5904
February 3.5578 3.5017 3.5211
March 3.8238 3.5346 3.6827
April 3.9291 3.8005 3.8758
May 4.0892 3.9222 4.0099
June 4.1158 3.7049 3.9912
July 3.7806 3.7064 3.7365
August 3.8499 3.7136 3.7741
September 3.8263 3.7427 3.7868
October 3.7547 3.6580 3.7127
November 3.6487 3.4356 3.5401
December 3.4203 3.1187 3.2998