YEARLY HIGH
52.5074 VUV
YEARLY LOW
38.3768 VUV
YEARLY AVERAGE
46.1776 VUV

2016 GEL to VUV Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to VUV exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 21, valuing the pair at 52.5074. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 38.3768.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 14.1307 VUV. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 46.3626 to the December average rate of 40.8002, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.00% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 52.5074 was down 13.43% compared to the 2015 peak of 60.6500, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 262,537 VUV
2015 Average 247,811 VUV
Yearly Trough Low 191,884 VUV
Transaction Impact: A difference of 70,653.27 VUV purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

51.3331
39.8427
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to VUV Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 47.8063, compared to 44.5489 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.2574 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 47.8063
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 44.5489

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 6.2156 VUV (High: 52.4715 / Low: 46.2559). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7673 VUV (High: 45.9048 / Low: 45.1375).

June Spread (Volatile) ±6.2156
February Spread (Stable) ±0.7673

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 4.4420 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.4420

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 50.3685) against the same month in 2015 (average: 45.3139), the exchange rate shifted by +5.0546 (+11.15%).

2016 Avg (May) 50.3685
2015 Avg (May) 45.3139

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 46.9852 45.9189 46.3626
February 45.9048 45.1375 45.4961
March 47.8365 45.2794 46.3845
April 48.9086 46.8158 47.8505
May 52.5074 48.3974 50.3685
June 52.4715 46.2559 50.3756
July 46.8321 45.4600 45.9336
August 46.5337 45.0955 45.9162
September 46.8414 45.2665 46.0043
October 45.7563 44.8488 45.2771
November 45.0644 42.1956 43.3619
December 42.1799 38.3768 40.8002