YEARLY HIGH
1.6723 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.5566 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.5046 MOP

2019 GHS to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the GHS to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 1.6723. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 19, dropping to 0.5566.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1158 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6482 to the December average rate of 1.4104, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.43% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1.6723 was down 8.75% compared to the 2018 peak of 1.8327, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GHS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,362 MOP
2018 Average 8,629 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 2,783 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,578.83 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1.6720
1.3866
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GHS to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5427, compared to 1.4665 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0762 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5427
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4665

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was May, with a trading range of 1.0185 MOP (High: 1.5751 / Low: 0.5566). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0213 MOP (High: 1.4974 / Low: 1.4761).

May Spread (Volatile) ±1.0185
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0213

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1107 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1107

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 1.6482) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1.7733), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1251 (-7.06%).

2019 Avg (January) 1.6482
2018 Avg (January) 1.7733

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.6723 1.6118 1.6482
February 1.6275 1.4691 1.5375
March 1.5844 1.4311 1.4922
April 1.5861 1.4922 1.5607
May 1.5751 0.5566 1.5231
June 1.5092 1.4710 1.4943
July 1.5049 1.4818 1.4932
August 1.4974 1.4761 1.4880
September 1.4916 1.4657 1.4719
October 1.4985 1.4652 1.4812
November 1.4697 1.4369 1.4543
December 1.4341 1.3952 1.4104