2011 GIP to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

166.1599 KES

YEARLY LOW

125.2000 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

142.1971 KES

2011 GIP to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the GIP to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 166.1599. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 125.2000.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 40.9598 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 127.6046 to the December average rate of 134.9668, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.77% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 166.1599 was up 27.54% compared to the 2010 peak of 130.2798, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GIP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 830,799 KES

2010 Average 612,082 KES

Yearly Trough Low 626,000 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 204,799.14 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

162.2570

124.4544

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GIP to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 135.9954, compared to 148.3987 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 12.4032 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 135.9954

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 148.3987

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 17.3332 KES (High: 156.6816 / Low: 139.3484). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.6097 KES (High: 133.6339 / Low: 130.0242).

November Spread (Volatile) ±17.3332

February Spread (Stable) ±3.6097

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 12.3054 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -12.3054

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 159.1067) against the same month in 2010 (average: 127.9676), the exchange rate shifted by +31.1391 (+24.33%).

2011 Avg (October) 159.1067

2010 Avg (October) 127.9676

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	129.7645	125.2000	127.6046
February	133.6339	130.0242	131.3986
March	139.0180	133.4938	136.0875
April	139.0179	133.5877	137.2173
May	141.1882	137.5130	139.4752
June	148.3286	141.0871	144.1893
July	148.7313	142.1206	145.0024
August	155.1427	148.3215	151.9056
September	160.5470	149.4277	152.1384
October	166.1599	156.1215	159.1067
November	156.6816	139.3484	147.2722
December	141.2007	129.9946	134.9668