2011 GIP to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

4626.3105 UGX

YEARLY LOW

3579.8741 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

4045.2726 UGX

2011 GIP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the GIP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 24, valuing the pair at 4626.3105. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 3579.8741.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1046.4364 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3670.9893 to the December average rate of 3827.2446, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.26% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 4626.3105 was up 24.36% compared to the 2010 peak of 3720.1790, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GIP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,131,552 UGX

2010 Average 16,839,457 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 17,899,370 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,232,181.86 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

4590.3941

3587.4070

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GIP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3848.8365, compared to 4241.7087 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 392.8722 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3848.8365

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4241.7087

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 396.2733 UGX (High: 4537.1821 / Low: 4140.9088). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 107.5231 UGX (High: 3944.4572 / Low: 3836.9341).

October Spread (Volatile) ±396.2733

March Spread (Stable) ±107.5231

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 335.7921 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -335.7921

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2011: 4506.8118) against the same month in 2010 (average: 3488.9996), the exchange rate shifted by +1017.8122 (+29.17%).

2011 Avg (August) 4506.8118

2010 Avg (August) 3488.9996

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	3828.1571	3579.8741	3670.9893
February	3862.8886	3715.8605	3783.9699
March	3944.4572	3836.9341	3871.4893
April	3967.3912	3795.0170	3883.4209
May	3970.3304	3844.5927	3908.0958
June	4290.6651	3909.7089	3975.0541
July	4264.8316	4079.6999	4175.5412
August	4626.3105	4282.4859	4506.8118
September	4577.4698	4363.6051	4450.3663
October	4537.1821	4140.9088	4413.0403
November	4213.8478	3918.1922	4077.2482
December	4004.5562	3663.4424	3827.2446